Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000093 0.000098 0.000103 0.000109 0.000116 0.000122 0.000130
2025-01-12 0.000082 0.000089 0.000097 0.000105 0.000116 0.000127 0.000141
2025-01-19 0.000076 0.000083 0.000092 0.000103 0.000115 0.000130 0.000149
2025-01-26 0.000070 0.000078 0.000087 0.000098 0.000112 0.000129 0.000152
2025-02-02 0.000067 0.000076 0.000086 0.000099 0.000115 0.000135 0.000164
2025-02-09 0.000066 0.000075 0.000086 0.000101 0.000119 0.000143 0.000178
2025-02-16 0.000065 0.000075 0.000086 0.000102 0.000123 0.000152 0.000194
2025-02-23 0.000065 0.000076 0.000089 0.000107 0.000132 0.000166 0.000221
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000073 0.000086 0.000104 0.000130 0.000166 0.000225
2025-03-09 0.000059 0.000070 0.000083 0.000101 0.000126 0.000163 0.000225
2025-03-16 0.000058 0.000068 0.000082 0.000100 0.000128 0.000168 0.000236
2025-03-23 0.000057 0.000068 0.000082 0.000102 0.000131 0.000176 0.000256
2025-03-30 0.000055 0.000066 0.000080 0.000100 0.000130 0.000177 0.000264
2025-04-06 0.000052 0.000063 0.000077 0.000097 0.000127 0.000175 0.000266
2025-04-13 0.000050 0.000061 0.000074 0.000094 0.000125 0.000174 0.000271
2025-04-20 0.000048 0.000058 0.000071 0.000090 0.000121 0.000169 0.000266
2025-04-27 0.000047 0.000057 0.000071 0.000091 0.000123 0.000176 0.000286
2025-05-04 0.000047 0.000057 0.000071 0.000093 0.000127 0.000186 0.000316
2025-05-11 0.000046 0.000057 0.000071 0.000094 0.000131 0.000197 0.000349
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000058 0.000073 0.000098 0.000140 0.000218 0.000414
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000056 0.000071 0.000096 0.000137 0.000215 0.000417
2025-06-01 0.000043 0.000054 0.000069 0.000093 0.000133 0.000210 0.000412
2025-06-08 0.000043 0.000053 0.000068 0.000092 0.000134 0.000215 0.000437